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Here are my predictions for where AI will be by December 31st, 2026. Take the survey yourself at forecast2026.ai

AI has been superhuman at narrow things for decades. Chinook was the first program to win a human world championship in 1994. Chess fell in 1997. Go in 2016. Poker in 2017. Each time, we moved the goalposts and said “but that’s not real intelligence.” The thing is, capabilities don’t arrive uniformly. They poke through human-level performance one domain at a time. If you imagine a radar chart with hundreds of axes - one for each cognitive task - AI has always been this spiky shape....

Intelligence is coming!